Japanese salmon prices are high, and consumption is far from the trend

In 2010, Japan imported 14,841 tons of live oysters, an increase of 22.8% from 12,079 tons in 2009, and imported 22,938 tons of roast oysters, an increase of 12.1% from 20,460 tons in 2009. The unit price of imported oysters and broiled razor clams has increased significantly. In 2010, there were several new trends in the squid market in Japan:

One is the decline of seedling resources. Due to changes in Japan’s oceans, rivers, and lakes, especially the overfishing of wild salmon, the resources of seedlings have declined. Although the Japanese government has adopted a series of measures to restrict the export of domestic seedlings and encourage the import of seedlings, it has had little effect. In the 1970s, Japan's annual average amount of seedlings entering the pond was 78.1 tons, in the 1980s it was 58.6 tons, in the 1990s it was 36.3 tons, and in 2000-2009 it dropped to 24.4 tons. In 2010, it was only about 15 tons.

The second is the reduction in domestic salmon production. Over the years, in order to increase the self-sufficiency rate of squid, the Japanese government's policy has tilted towards squid, provided large amounts of unpaid or low-interest funds to vigorously support the development of breeding industry, and even restricted squid imports through the manufacture of various technical and trade barriers. However, due to unproductive results, the self-sufficiency rate of carp on the surface has increased. In fact, the output of domestic carp fell from 39,013 tons in 1991 to 24,118 tons in 2000. In 2009, there were only 22,404 tons. It is expected that it will fall below 20,000 tons in 2010. Mark.

It should be pointed out that due to restrictions on seedlings, soil, and labor resources in Japan, the cost of breeding is high, and the cost of domestically produced squid is more than double that of mainland China. The so-called increase in the self-sufficiency rate of squid can only be used to fill the hunger.

Third, the import volume of squid has dropped significantly. In 2005, Japan imported 23,553 tons of live oysters. In 2010, it was only 14,841 tons, which was equivalent to 63% in 2005. Imports of roast quails declined even more. In 2001, 69385 tons of roast quail were imported. In 2005, it was 32,408 tons. In 2010, there were only 22,938 tons. T, equivalent to 33% in 2001. The main reasons for the decrease in import volume are: 1 The decline of Asian seedlings resources, and the incorporation of European dragonflies into the protection scope of the Washington Convention, resulting in a significant reduction of salmon production in mainland China and Taiwan. 2 Japan introduced an extremely stringent “positive list system” to carry out order inspections for each batch of imported Chinese and Taiwanese squid. After arriving in Japan, live and air transport will have to hold a few days for waiting for inspection before they can pass customs clearance. The loss rate and import cost will increase significantly. It also forced mainland China to open up markets in Europe and the United States to reduce its exports to Japan. 3 The consumption of eels in China, South Korea, the United States, and Russia increased. Affected by the above factors, squid gradually changed from the buyer's market into a balance of supply and demand and even a seller's market.

Fourth, the price of carp rose sharply. Affected by the substantial increase in prices of seedlings and feed, wages, and import fees, the average price of imported live leeches in Japan rose from 796.5 yen per kilogram in 2001 to 1374.3 yen in 2009, and reached 1548.1 yen in 2010; The average import price of roasted oysters was 961.6 yen per kilogram in 2001, 1129.7 yen in 2009, and increased to 1604.6 yen in 2010. People in the industry agree that the era of Japan’s import of cheap squid is long gone.

On the other hand, the price of Japanese-made roast oysters has skyrocketed. For example, for a 50-gram headless long-lasting roast, the wholesale price per kilogram has reached 4300-4500 yen, which is equivalent to nearly double the equivalent roast quail in China.

Fifth, consumers have a tendency to stay away from salmon. Due to the decrease in the import of catfish and the increase in sales prices, coupled with the issue of disguised production of eel and the negative impact of Japanese media's malicious speculation on the import of mackerel, eel has gradually left the general public's table and changed from a year-round product to a seasonal one. commodity. In 2001, Japan consumed 150,455 tons of carp and consumed 1,182 grams of per capita. In 2009, the country consumed 63,365 tons of carp and consumed 497 grams per capita, which is equivalent to 42% in 2001. It is close to Taiwan and South Korea. It is estimated that per capita carp consumption in Japan in 2011 Will fall further.

It should be pointed out that due to the recession of global seedling resources and the impact of European embarrassment being included in the scope of protection of the Washington Convention, the production of sturgeon in mainland China and Taiwan has declined year after year. On the contrary, the consumption of carp in the United States, China, Russia, and emerging countries has increased year by year. If Japan still unilaterally emphasizes raising the self-sufficiency rate of domestic agricultural and fishery products, adopting technical barriers to trade to limit the imports of carp will lead to a continuous decline in consumption, and carp gradually away from consumption. At the dinner table, the traditional carp culture has become increasingly poor. The relevant policies of the Japanese government are worth reflecting on.

Under the background that the amount of seedlings entering the pond has fallen year after year and the squid has gradually turned into a seller’s market, to rejuvenate the breeding industry in mainland China and Taiwan, it is necessary to change the strategies and tactics of passive assault taken in the past and master the seedlings and livelihoods. Roasted quail dominance and discourse power in the international market.

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